A mathematical perspective for the behavior of Covid-19 in Boyacá
This article presents the initial results of a study whose purpose is to develop a behavioral forecast of the Covid-19 pandemic in the department of Boyacá using GeoGebra, OriginPro8, and Excel software. The data recorded by the Boyacá Health Secretary and by the National Institutes of Health in a p...
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| Format: | Online |
| Language: | spa |
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Uptc
2021
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| Online Access: | https://revistas.uptc.edu.co/index.php/semilleros_investigacion/article/view/11504 |
| _version_ | 1801706806561472512 |
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| author | Cruz, David Octavio |
| author_facet | Cruz, David Octavio |
| author_sort | Cruz, David Octavio |
| collection | OJS |
| description | This article presents the initial results of a study whose purpose is to develop a behavioral forecast of the Covid-19 pandemic in the department of Boyacá using GeoGebra, OriginPro8, and Excel software. The data recorded by the Boyacá Health Secretary and by the National Institutes of Health in a period of 108 days since the first cases appeared, are classified according to the number of confirmed, infected, recovered, and deceased cases. A quantitative methodology with a documentary approach is used in order to create a deterministic strategy with a statistical balance. The result is an analysis and a projection of growth in the cases of Covid-19 based on exponential mathematical models, diagrams, and curves that represent the various phenomena that influence the statistical study and their variations according to the measures adopted by the Boyacá community. |
| format | Online |
| id | oai:oai.revistas.uptc.edu.co:article-11504 |
| institution | Revista Habitus: Semilleros de investigación |
| language | spa |
| publishDate | 2021 |
| publisher | Uptc |
| record_format | ojs |
| spelling | oai:oai.revistas.uptc.edu.co:article-115042021-10-27T20:29:07Z A mathematical perspective for the behavior of Covid-19 in Boyacá Una perspectiva matemática para el comportamiento del covid-19 en Boyacá Uma perspectiva matemática para o comportamento da covid-19 em Boyacá Cruz, David Octavio pandemic Covid-19 software mathematical models Department of Boyacá pandemia covid-19 software modelos matemáticos departamento de Boyacá pandemia covid-19 software modelos matemáticos departamento de Boyacá This article presents the initial results of a study whose purpose is to develop a behavioral forecast of the Covid-19 pandemic in the department of Boyacá using GeoGebra, OriginPro8, and Excel software. The data recorded by the Boyacá Health Secretary and by the National Institutes of Health in a period of 108 days since the first cases appeared, are classified according to the number of confirmed, infected, recovered, and deceased cases. A quantitative methodology with a documentary approach is used in order to create a deterministic strategy with a statistical balance. The result is an analysis and a projection of growth in the cases of Covid-19 based on exponential mathematical models, diagrams, and curves that represent the various phenomena that influence the statistical study and their variations according to the measures adopted by the Boyacá community. El presente artículo expone los resultados parciales de una investigación cuyo propósito es desarrollar un pronóstico de comportamiento de la pandemia por covid-19 en el departamento de Boyacá, con ayuda de los softwares GeoGebra, OriginPro8 y Excel. Como fundamento se tienen los datos registrados por la Secretaría de Salud de Boyacá y por el Instituto Nacional de Salud en un periodo de 108 días, desde que aparecieron los primeros casos, clasificados según el número de casos confirmados o infectados, recuperados y fallecidos. Se usa una metodología cuantitativa con un enfoque documental y se da a conocer una estrategia determinística en el balance estadístico. Así, se tiene como resultado un análisis y una proyección de crecimiento de los casos de covid-19, basada en modelos matemáticos exponenciales, diagramas y curvas que representan los diversos fenómenos que influyen en el estudio estadístico y sus variaciones según las medidas adoptadas por la comunidad boyacense. O presente artigo expõe os resultados parciais de uma pesquisa cujo propósito é desenvolver um prognóstico de comportamento da pandemia pela covid-19 no departamento de Boyacá, com ajuda dos softwares GeoGebra, OriginPro8 e Excel. Como fundamento contamos com os dados registrados pela Secretaria de Saúde de Boyacá e pelo Instituto Nacional de Saúde em um período de 108 dias, desde que apareceram os primeiros casos, classificados segundo o número de casos confirmados ou infectados, recuperados e falecidos. Usa-se uma metodologia quantitativa com um enfoque documental e dá-se a conhecer uma estratégia determinística no balanço estatístico. Assim, obtém-se como resultado uma análise e uma projeção de crescimento dos casos da covid-19, baseada em modelos matemáticos exponenciais, diagramas e curvas que representam os diversos fenômenos que influem no estudo estatístico e suas variações segundo as medidas adotadas pela comunidade boyacense. Uptc 2021-05-11 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion application/pdf text/html application/epub+zip text/xml https://revistas.uptc.edu.co/index.php/semilleros_investigacion/article/view/11504 10.19053/22158391.11504 Revista Habitus: Semilleros de investigación; Vol. 1 Núm. 1 (2021); e11504 2745-2166 2215-8391 spa https://revistas.uptc.edu.co/index.php/semilleros_investigacion/article/view/11504/10577 https://revistas.uptc.edu.co/index.php/semilleros_investigacion/article/view/11504/10578 https://revistas.uptc.edu.co/index.php/semilleros_investigacion/article/view/11504/10579 https://revistas.uptc.edu.co/index.php/semilleros_investigacion/article/view/11504/11055 Derechos de autor 2021 Revista Habitus. Semilleros de investigación https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0 |
| spellingShingle | pandemic Covid-19 software mathematical models Department of Boyacá pandemia covid-19 software modelos matemáticos departamento de Boyacá pandemia covid-19 software modelos matemáticos departamento de Boyacá Cruz, David Octavio A mathematical perspective for the behavior of Covid-19 in Boyacá |
| title | A mathematical perspective for the behavior of Covid-19 in Boyacá |
| title_alt | Una perspectiva matemática para el comportamiento del covid-19 en Boyacá Uma perspectiva matemática para o comportamento da covid-19 em Boyacá |
| title_full | A mathematical perspective for the behavior of Covid-19 in Boyacá |
| title_fullStr | A mathematical perspective for the behavior of Covid-19 in Boyacá |
| title_full_unstemmed | A mathematical perspective for the behavior of Covid-19 in Boyacá |
| title_short | A mathematical perspective for the behavior of Covid-19 in Boyacá |
| title_sort | mathematical perspective for the behavior of covid 19 in boyaca |
| topic | pandemic Covid-19 software mathematical models Department of Boyacá pandemia covid-19 software modelos matemáticos departamento de Boyacá pandemia covid-19 software modelos matemáticos departamento de Boyacá |
| topic_facet | pandemic Covid-19 software mathematical models Department of Boyacá pandemia covid-19 software modelos matemáticos departamento de Boyacá pandemia covid-19 software modelos matemáticos departamento de Boyacá |
| url | https://revistas.uptc.edu.co/index.php/semilleros_investigacion/article/view/11504 |
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