Spillovers of COVID-19 on Employment and Income in Peru

This paper estimates the spillovers effects of COVID-19 on employment (total, formal, and informal) and real income of a group of Peruvian provinces called “treated or treatment” in the period of the virus 2020- II-2021-IV. These spillovers are associated with the behavior of people who broke the co...

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Main Author: Tello Pacheco, Mario
Format: Online
Language:spa
Published: Universidad Pedagógica y Tecnológica de Colombia 2023
Subjects:
Online Access:https://revistas.uptc.edu.co/index.php/cenes/article/view/15389
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author Tello Pacheco, Mario
author_facet Tello Pacheco, Mario
author_sort Tello Pacheco, Mario
collection OJS
description This paper estimates the spillovers effects of COVID-19 on employment (total, formal, and informal) and real income of a group of Peruvian provinces called “treated or treatment” in the period of the virus 2020- II-2021-IV. These spillovers are associated with the behavior of people who broke the confinement, crowded into relatively small spaces, and did not use protective measures against COVID-19. The measurements of these effects are based on Cao and Dowd (2019), and on the INEI-ENAHO National Household Survey (2022) for the period 2011.I-2021-IV, which is the main database of the study. Two main results of the study are, on the one hand, that COVID-19 and the confinement policies and transfers to the poor and companies contributed on average to more than 50% of the decrease in total employment, formal employment, and real income (of the economically active population employed in the province), and to the increase in informality for the group of provinces covered. On the other hand, the spillovers effects attenuated the negative effects of the decrease in formal employment and real income in said provinces.
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spelling oai:oai.revistas.uptc.edu.co:article-153892024-03-20T21:51:12Z Spillovers of COVID-19 on Employment and Income in Peru Los “spillovers” del COVID-19 sobre el empleo y el ingreso en Perú Tello Pacheco, Mario COVID-19 efectos spillovers desempleo distribucción del ingreso Peru Covid-19 spillover effect unemployment income distribution Peru This paper estimates the spillovers effects of COVID-19 on employment (total, formal, and informal) and real income of a group of Peruvian provinces called “treated or treatment” in the period of the virus 2020- II-2021-IV. These spillovers are associated with the behavior of people who broke the confinement, crowded into relatively small spaces, and did not use protective measures against COVID-19. The measurements of these effects are based on Cao and Dowd (2019), and on the INEI-ENAHO National Household Survey (2022) for the period 2011.I-2021-IV, which is the main database of the study. Two main results of the study are, on the one hand, that COVID-19 and the confinement policies and transfers to the poor and companies contributed on average to more than 50% of the decrease in total employment, formal employment, and real income (of the economically active population employed in the province), and to the increase in informality for the group of provinces covered. On the other hand, the spillovers effects attenuated the negative effects of the decrease in formal employment and real income in said provinces. En este trabajo se estiman los efectos spillovers (de derrame) del COVID-19 sobre empleo (total, formal e informal) e ingresos reales de un grupo de provincias del Perú denominadas “tratadas o de tratamiento”, en el período del virus 2020-II-2021-IV. Estos spillovers se asocian al comportamiento de las personas que incumplieron el confinamiento, se aglomeraron en espacios relativamente pequeños, no usaron medidas de protección contra el COVID-19. Las mediciones de estos efectos se apoyan en Cao y Dowd (2019) y en la Encuesta Nacional de Hogares del INEI-ENAHO (2022) del período 2011.I-2021-IV, que es la base de datos principal del estudio. Dos resultados principales del estudio son, por un lado, que el COVID-19 y las políticas de confinamiento y transferencias a pobres y empresas contribuyeron en promedio en más del 50 % del decrecimiento del empleo total, el formal y el ingreso real (de la población económicamente activa ocupada provincial), y al incremento de la informalidad para el grupo de provincias tratadas. Por otro lado, los efectos spillovers atenuaron los efectos negativos de la disminución del empleo formal y del ingreso real de dichas provincias. Universidad Pedagógica y Tecnológica de Colombia 2023-03-23 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Peer reviewed Article Texto application/pdf application/pdf text/xml https://revistas.uptc.edu.co/index.php/cenes/article/view/15389 10.19053/01203053.v42.n75.2023.15389 Apuntes del Cenes; Vol. 42 No. 75 (2023); 161-195 Apuntes del Cenes; Vol. 42 Núm. 75 (2023); 161-195 2256-5779 0120-3053 spa https://revistas.uptc.edu.co/index.php/cenes/article/view/15389/12738 https://revistas.uptc.edu.co/index.php/cenes/article/view/15389/12769 https://revistas.uptc.edu.co/index.php/cenes/article/view/15389/13862 Copyright (c) 2023 Mario Tello Pacheco http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0
spellingShingle COVID-19
efectos spillovers
desempleo
distribucción del ingreso
Peru
Covid-19
spillover effect
unemployment
income distribution
Peru
Tello Pacheco, Mario
Spillovers of COVID-19 on Employment and Income in Peru
title Spillovers of COVID-19 on Employment and Income in Peru
title_alt Los “spillovers” del COVID-19 sobre el empleo y el ingreso en Perú
title_full Spillovers of COVID-19 on Employment and Income in Peru
title_fullStr Spillovers of COVID-19 on Employment and Income in Peru
title_full_unstemmed Spillovers of COVID-19 on Employment and Income in Peru
title_short Spillovers of COVID-19 on Employment and Income in Peru
title_sort spillovers of covid 19 on employment and income in peru
topic COVID-19
efectos spillovers
desempleo
distribucción del ingreso
Peru
Covid-19
spillover effect
unemployment
income distribution
Peru
topic_facet COVID-19
efectos spillovers
desempleo
distribucción del ingreso
Peru
Covid-19
spillover effect
unemployment
income distribution
Peru
url https://revistas.uptc.edu.co/index.php/cenes/article/view/15389
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